Market Structure

Is XRP’s Early‑2026 ETF‑Fueled Rally Sustainable? A Deep Dive into Flows, Supply and Policy – cover image
Is XRP’s Early‑2026 ETF‑Fueled Rally Sustainable? A Deep Dive into Flows, Supply and Policy

XRP’s early‑2026 jump — driven by spot ETF inflows and regulatory shifts — raises a key question: can ETF capital and a friendlier policy mix deliver a lasting market‑share gain? This article breaks down mechanics, on‑chain supply, and scenarios for sustainability.

Published at 2026-01-03 12:42:56
What Will Drive Bitcoin in Early 2026: Fed Repo, ETF Outflows, Options Expiry and the Bear Case – cover image
What Will Drive Bitcoin in Early 2026: Fed Repo, ETF Outflows, Options Expiry and the Bear Case

A tactical look at macro and market-structure signals — Fed repo injections, record spot‑ETF outflows, >$2.2B options expiry and recent on‑chain bearish flips — that will shape BTC’s short-to-medium term path.

Published at 2026-01-02 12:56:05
Lighter's Meteoric Rise: What ~$200B in 30‑Day Volume Means for Derivatives Markets – cover image
Lighter's Meteoric Rise: What ~$200B in 30‑Day Volume Means for Derivatives Markets

Lighter reported nearly $200 billion in 30‑day trading volume and briefly overtook Hyperliquid, forcing a reassessment of derivatives liquidity and market structure in 2026. This piece unpacks the numbers, drivers, risks, and practical implications for traders and market makers.

Bitcoin's Failed $90K Breakout: Market Structure, OI Dynamics, and Q1 2026 Playbook – cover image
Bitcoin's Failed $90K Breakout: Market Structure, OI Dynamics, and Q1 2026 Playbook

A technical-market-structure deep dive into Bitcoin's late‑December 2025 failed $90k breakout, unpacking resistance, trendline retests, futures/options open interest dynamics, manipulation claims, and actionable trade frameworks for Q1 2026.

Published at 2025-12-30 13:28:37
XRP Valuation Under Scrutiny: Escrow, Evernorth Losses, and the Liquidity-Layer Thesis – cover image
XRP Valuation Under Scrutiny: Escrow, Evernorth Losses, and the Liquidity-Layer Thesis

A focused investigation into whether XRP’s market price is defensible given its proposed role as a global liquidity layer, large unrealized institutional losses at Evernorth, and Ripple’s escrow defense. Practical risk checks and monitoring steps for portfolio managers are included.

Terraform Labs vs Jump Trading: The $4B Suit That Could Redraw Crypto Market Structure – cover image
Terraform Labs vs Jump Trading: The $4B Suit That Could Redraw Crypto Market Structure

Terraform Labs has sued Jump Trading for $4 billion, alleging secret deals and market manipulation tied to the UST/LUNA collapse. This investigative piece maps the timeline, evaluates legal hurdles, and forecasts market-structure consequences for HFTs, OTC liquidity providers, and token holders.

What $5B–$10B in XRP ETF Assets Would Do to Liquidity, Price Discovery and Adoption – cover image
What $5B–$10B in XRP ETF Assets Would Do to Liquidity, Price Discovery and Adoption

A deep dive into the recent streak of spot‑XRP ETF inflows, how Cboe approval of 21Shares XR ticker channels demand, and scenario analysis for $5B–$10B in ETF assets on liquidity, price discovery and on‑chain activity.

Institutionalizing XRP: TOXR ETFs, CFTC Shifts, and RLUSD’s Settlement Play – cover image
Institutionalizing XRP: TOXR ETFs, CFTC Shifts, and RLUSD’s Settlement Play

Spot XRP ETFs, a shifting CFTC stance toward Ripple-linked instruments, and RLUSD on the XRP Ledger are reshaping liquidity, price discovery, and custody for institutional players. This deep dive explains ETF mechanics, liquidity dynamics, regulatory implications, and how on‑ledger stablecoins change settlement rails for exchanges and institutions.

Published at 2025-12-11 14:21:23
How CME’s Crypto Indices and a Bitcoin VIX Are Reshaping Hedging, Liquidity and Market Structure – cover image
How CME’s Crypto Indices and a Bitcoin VIX Are Reshaping Hedging, Liquidity and Market Structure

CME’s new pricing indices and a VIX‑style Bitcoin volatility measure are creating standardized reference points that change hedging, derivatives pricing and liquidity provision for BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP. Institutional benchmarks reduce fragmentation, force re‑calibration of models, and reshape how ETF, OTC and market‑making desks operate.

Was 2025 a Crypto Bear Market? A Data-Driven Verdict for BTC and ETH – cover image
Was 2025 a Crypto Bear Market? A Data-Driven Verdict for BTC and ETH

After October’s flash crash, 2025 left investors asking whether the year qualifies as a bear market. This feature synthesizes drawdowns, ETF redemptions, exchange-premium signals and technical calls to offer a balanced view and allocation guidance for 2026.