Macro

Why Spot-ETF Inflows, Macro Tailwinds and Market Structure Are Pushing Bitcoin Toward $100K – cover image
Why Spot-ETF Inflows, Macro Tailwinds and Market Structure Are Pushing Bitcoin Toward $100K

Renewed US spot-BTC ETF inflows, dovish macro expectations and cleaner market plumbing have tilted the odds toward Bitcoin testing six figures in early 2026. Traders should weigh entry scales, hedges and concentration risks from large institutional holders like MSTR.

Published at 2026-01-04 12:46:42
What Will Drive Bitcoin in Early 2026: Fed Repo, ETF Outflows, Options Expiry and the Bear Case – cover image
What Will Drive Bitcoin in Early 2026: Fed Repo, ETF Outflows, Options Expiry and the Bear Case

A tactical look at macro and market-structure signals — Fed repo injections, record spot‑ETF outflows, >$2.2B options expiry and recent on‑chain bearish flips — that will shape BTC’s short-to-medium term path.

Published at 2026-01-02 12:56:05
Dissecting Conflicting Bitcoin ETF Flows at Year-End 2025 — What It Means for 2026 and the Four‑Year Cycle – cover image
Dissecting Conflicting Bitcoin ETF Flows at Year-End 2025 — What It Means for 2026 and the Four‑Year Cycle

Late‑December ETF outflows then a hefty inflow left traders asking whether flows validate price momentum or just noise. This piece unpacks the signals, the competing halving-cycle narratives, and the concrete indicators to watch into 2026.

Published at 2026-01-01 14:02:22
Bitcoin 2026: An Integrated Forecast from ETF Flows, On‑Chain Signals and Macro Drivers – cover image
Bitcoin 2026: An Integrated Forecast from ETF Flows, On‑Chain Signals and Macro Drivers

A unified roadmap for BTC into 2026 that synthesizes spot‑ETF flows, on‑chain holder behavior, and macro variables to produce scenario-based BTC price guidance and tactical positioning. Designed for intermediate investors and portfolio managers.

Published at 2025-12-31 15:18:09
Why Ethereum Looks Poised for a 2026 Rally: Dollar Weakness, Whale Accumulation and BitMine’s MAVAN – cover image
Why Ethereum Looks Poised for a 2026 Rally: Dollar Weakness, Whale Accumulation and BitMine’s MAVAN

Ethereum’s setup for 2026 is coalescing: concentrated whale accumulation, technical consolidation around $2,900–$3,050, and rising staking demand — now amplified by BitMine’s MAVAN proposal. A weaker dollar could magnify gains, but execution and macro risks remain.

Published at 2025-12-30 14:07:16
Year-end 2025: Whale Accumulation, ETF Outflows, and What Comes Next for Bitcoin – cover image
Year-end 2025: Whale Accumulation, ETF Outflows, and What Comes Next for Bitcoin

At the close of 2025, on-chain signals show large Bitcoin holders accumulating in the $80k–$90k band even as weekly spot ETF outflows topped $780m. This piece synthesizes whale metrics, ETF flow dynamics, macro narratives and miner behavior to frame plausible price trajectories for 2026–2027.

Macro Narratives vs. Market Reality: Bitcoin, Gold, BoJ and Retail Flows Heading into 2026 – cover image
Macro Narratives vs. Market Reality: Bitcoin, Gold, BoJ and Retail Flows Heading into 2026

As 2026 approaches, investors must parse competing narratives — Bitcoin vs gold, BoJ-driven carry trades, and vocal critics like Peter Schiff — to understand where flows might land. This piece maps the arguments, the flow mechanics, and the practical signals macro allocators should watch.

Published at 2025-12-28 16:34:58
How 2025’s “Stealth” Bitcoin Bear Could Seed a Multi‑Year Bull Run – cover image
How 2025’s “Stealth” Bitcoin Bear Could Seed a Multi‑Year Bull Run

A closer read of Samson Mow and PlanC’s stealth‑bear thesis shows how muted price action in 2025 may have compressed supply, reset risk, and primed BTC for a multi‑year rally — provided liquidity and miner metrics confirm the turn.

Published at 2025-12-27 12:41:57
Why Bitcoin’s Christmas Week Could Be a Volatility Inflection: Gamma, Expiries, ETFs, and the BOJ Shock – cover image
Why Bitcoin’s Christmas Week Could Be a Volatility Inflection: Gamma, Expiries, ETFs, and the BOJ Shock

A concentrated options calendar, large Deribit expiries and gamma roll-offs, competing ETF flows, and a recent BOJ rate shock create a high-probability volatility inflection for Bitcoin over the next 7–14 days. This piece breaks down market mechanics and offers tactical hedges for spot, futures, and options players.

Published at 2025-12-19 13:35:17
China’s Renewed Mining Crackdown: Hashrate Shock, Miner Capitulation and Bitcoin’s 2026 Outlook – cover image
China’s Renewed Mining Crackdown: Hashrate Shock, Miner Capitulation and Bitcoin’s 2026 Outlook

China’s latest mining enforcement in Xinjiang removed roughly 400k ASICs and knocked hashrate down near 8–10%, forcing a complex mix of miner selling and hashprice repricing. This piece examines immediate network effects, miner economics, migration options, and scenarios institutions should model for BTC into 2026.

Published at 2025-12-18 13:07:48