
A liquidity-driven unwind, an options-market flip toward puts, and on-chain selling by short‑term holders — amplified by Mt. Gox outflows — point to a near-term slide for BTC before conditions set up a possible year‑end rebound toward $104K. Here’s how traders and institutions can position.

Bitcoin’s slide under $100,000 has split opinion: some see a brief capitulation flagged by a rare BTC-to-gold signal, others warn of a drawn-out correction through 2026. This analysis weighs technicals, on-chain pain, options positioning, ETF flows and offers a practical timeline and investor playbook.

A $730M Ethereum options expiry and a large on‑chain accumulation (36,437 ETH) combined to create asymmetric risk around ETH, shifting short‑term gamma and offering specific plays for options and spot desks. This piece breaks down the mechanics, evidence, and a practical playbook for navigating the aftermath.

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