
A synthesis of ETF flow data, exchange treasury behavior, miner economics and macro signals to assess whether BTC is close to a cycle bottom and what allocators should do over the next 3–12 months.

A predicted difficulty increase on December 11 will reshuffle miner economics, forcing older rigs out and changing short‑term selling dynamics. This explainer walks through the drivers, immediate margin impacts, institutional behavior, and the on‑chain and macro indicators to watch next.