Bitcoin Dips After Trump’s 15% Tariff Hike; 88% Odds of Rebound
On Feb. 22, 2026, Bitcoin fell as traders reacted to President Trump’s decision to raise tariffs by 15%, a move that sparked a brief risk‑off wave across equities and crypto. The announcement pushed volatility higher and pressured short‑term sentiment, prompting a pause in flows as investors reassess exposure amid renewed geopolitical and trade uncertainty.
Despite the pullback, a probabilistic model cited by analysts indicates an 88% chance of upward price movement from current levels. That outlook reflects a mix of technical support, persistent on‑chain demand and the possibility that higher tariffs could stoke inflation expectations — a factor some market participants view as supportive for BTC over time. Traders will still watch macro headlines closely, but many see the dip as a potential buying opportunity while acknowledging continued downside risk if trade tensions escalate further.