Bitcoin Falls to $100,000 — Is the Four-Year Cycle Breaking?
Bitcoin's slide to $100,000 has reignited debate over whether the asset's signature four-year halving cycle — where peaks traditionally arrive 12–18 months after each halving — is weakening. Prominent trader Scott Melker (The Wolf Of All Streets) highlighted that previous tops clustered around 1,060–1,070 days after a major cycle low, a timing pattern some now say is shifting or breaking. Several other traders and analysts are flagging inconsistencies between historical cycle-based expectations and recent price behavior.
Why it matters: many market participants base positioning, risk models, and timing strategies on the halving-cycle narrative. If that cadence erodes, investors may need to lean more on macro drivers, on-chain signals and liquidity flows rather than calendar-based trades. Short-term volatility could rise as funds reassess exposure, and watchers will be watching halving-era indicators, institutional flows and macro data for fresh directional cues.