Is Bitcoin Breaking Its Traditional Four-Year Price Cycle?

Bitcoin has long followed a predictable four-year price cycle, closely tied to its halving events that occur roughly every four years. Historically, these halvings have driven significant price rallies, with peaks typically appearing 500 to 720 days after the event. The most recent halving took place in April 2024, and Bitcoin reached an all-time high of over $73,000 just before that in March 2024.
However, unlike previous cycles characterized by a strong post-halving rally, the current cycle has shown more subdued price action. This shift coincides with several pivotal changes in the market landscape, including the U.S. approval of Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, increased participation by institutional investors, and a series of more supportive regulatory frameworks reducing the risks tied to major market corrections.
Market analysts like Matthew Hougan suggest that these factors could mean Bitcoin is moving away from its traditional four-year cycle. If Bitcoin posts positive returns in 2026, it would indicate a new pattern of price appreciation. Predictions now point to an acceleration in Bitcoin's price growth between the third quarter of 2025 and the beginning of 2026.
For investors looking to navigate this evolving landscape, platforms like Bitlet.app provide valuable opportunities. Bitlet.app offers a Crypto Installment service that allows users to buy cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin now and pay in monthly installments, making it easier to invest without the pressure of full upfront payments.
In summary, while Bitcoin's historical price cycles have been a useful guide, the current market conditions and regulatory shifts suggest a possible new chapter for Bitcoin price dynamics. Staying informed and utilizing innovative platforms like Bitlet.app can help investors take advantage of these emerging trends.